I don't think you're going to see pilots getting worked all the way to ALV+15. However, there will be one or two pilots out there who will get nailed by this.
What ALV+15 does is allow the company to run the operation leaner than they normally would. IMO, it was a huge concession. You are starting to feel effects of contract enforcement take over as they slowly rearrange the crew force into the holes they need to fill.