Originally Posted by
Airhoss
I'd be willing to bet that most of us did not have the T-PIC and total time that the average RJ guy interviewing today has. This is due to the stagnation during the last decade.
True. Although not as long as back then, the early 90's were a bit of a stagnation period as well. And the "commuters" weren't anywhere near as large back then. So that pool of candidates to draw from in the civilian sector just wasn't as large.
Originally Posted by
Airhoss
But this pool of ultra experienced guys is going to dry up in a year or two. Then it will back to business as usual with a 10% average success rate. Just a SWAG but that's what I think.
Kind of going on my previous comment, agree. The first year or two will be (on average and excluding the usual other factors) the ultra-experienced. Followed by the very experienced, then simply just experienced.
Can't tell you how many FO's I flew with that would make the comment of "if I could go sideways right into a job at (insert legacy) without ever having to upgrade that would great!!!!!!"
True, it would be great!!!!! But again, barring the usual outside factors that don't involve flight time, it'll be YEARS before even "high time" regional FO's get a flat out cold call from an airline's HR department. Even BEFORE 9/11 it just simply didn't happen. Although NS did mention that the infamous UAL flight scantron flight time form may include FO jet time in the future. It never happened though.