Like HR Chick said, the attrition is so strong at SYX (lots of captains moving on to jetblue, midwest, evergreen, etc. and FOs seeing greener grass at another regional), its hard to see furloughs coming even when the beeches are gone. Right now, I believe there are right around 200 on the seniority list, and with attrition at about 15-20 a month, even when the beeches are gone (earliest sounds like early fall), they are still going to need to run a bunch of transition classes for all the 1900 guys. By the time all is said and done, attrition alone is going to take care of any surplus in staffing when the fleet shrinks from 18 to 12. I've heard they are looking at staffing around 150 pilots once the 1900s leave.