Originally Posted by forgot to bid

Imagine if the weather had been bad?

A few months ago I noticed they lopped off reserves by 20 or so pilots or about 20% of the reserves since we tended to average around 100-110 pilots. So I decided to take a little look and what I found is the number of pilots on reserve is mostly all over the place and no discernible patterns related to say the ALV.

First, the number of lucky pilots in ATL88B has grown from around 490 in JAN12 to 530 today. The fewest pilots on reserve in terms of numbers was 72 in MAR12 and the highest was 115 in OCT12.

As a percentage of pilots on RES vs REG, we average 18.1%. The number on reserve does not seem to correlate with the ALV as a low 72 hour ALV has produced the highest percentile on reserve, JAN12 23%, and the lowest, 14.7% in MAR12. If the ALV climbed above 76 hours the percentage on reserve still seemed to be all over the place from the mid 16% range to the 20.4% range. So ALV doesn't seem to matter much.

But when you just look at the totals from JAN12 to MAY13, you do notice something. We went from 95 pilots on reserve from JAN12-JAN13 to an average of 85 for FEB13-MAY13. The % on reserve during that time went from 18.8% in JAN12-JAN13 to 16.1% in FEB13-MAY13.

/assuming