Originally Posted by
SEDPA
Conjecture ... can you tell us how you arrived at this conclusion?
Certainly .. Take the list of both pilot groups, in spreadsheet format, filter out one group, then sort on birth date. Take arbitrary pilot, delete all those pilots older than him (they retire before said arbitrary pilot). Now sort remaining list based on date of hire. This will show number of pilots senior to said arbitrary pilot on the day he retires and his relative seniority. You can do this for each and every year. Rerun the projection for the arbitrary pilot 5 years into the future by just deleting the pilots that were born in 1953 and earlier. Rerun the projection for 10 years by deleting pilots that were born in 1958 and earlier.
Now, do the projection with both pilot groups at the 5 10 and 15 year mark and you'll see how the CAL 2007 hires will ALL be flying metal that they had never any hopes to fly.
So, they made their career choice to finish their career as a 737 captain, and that's exactly where they should finish up, not sitting in the left seat of a 747 for the last 15 years of their career.