Numbers
So here are some hard numbers on where the 2010 Hires currently sit, which should give some insight into where newhires might go.
We currently have roughly 11750 pilots on the roster, with roughly 230 2010 hires. Based on the projected category list from the March AE, They are Distributed Thusly:
58 ATL M88 (the ATL Plug is on the M88, and has 6 guys junior to him in NYC)
19 ATL 717
3 CVG M88
52 NYC 7ER (roughly 23% of 2010 hires are in this category. The 7ER plug has 17 guys junior to him in the system. )
13 NYC 73N
17 NYC 320
42 NYC M88
The balance are on various types of leave.
As you can see, 2010 hires can only hold those 3 bases currently, split mostly between ATL and NYC. It should be noted, however, that when they were hired, a substantial number of them were in MSP and DTW (and MEM.) They were kicked out of MSP as the 330 was transferred to ATL, the DC9 retired, and the 320 reduced block hours. The MEM closure threw a few wrenches in there too.
DTW just happened on the last few bids as a result of the DC9 retirement & 320 reduction, and will probably be reversed when the 717 Category opens there (which may or may not be the next bid.) (Also, 2010 hires could not hold CVG until this bid.) It should also be noted that on the march bid 20 ATL 717 vacancies were not filled, as well as about 10 DTW 73N vacancies. (As well as a handful of others, though I can't remember where.)
Here is a breakdown of the other bases, with how many folks (system wide) are junior to the plug there, and what seat he sits in (again, per the March AE projections.)
DTW (73N) – @270
MSP (M88) – @350
LAX (73N) – @530
SLC (73N) - @400 (and yes, the plug on the 73N is junior to the 320 plug)
SEA(7ER) -@1260