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Old 07-13-2013 | 11:25 AM
  #135093  
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buzzpat
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Joined: Feb 2008
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From: Urban chicken rancher.
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Originally Posted by Timbo
I was surprised there are still 200 on furlough bypass. Anyone have any idea how many of those 200 are on Mil. Leave, vs. flying at Jet Blue, SWA, FDX, etc. and how many of the 200 will actually come back?

Hiring is great, finally, but if they are looking for only 300 for all of 2014, and all 200 bypass's come back, well, that means they're really only going to hire 100, ie. two classes of 50.

On the other hand, if none of the 200 on bypass come back, that's only 6 classes of 50, (or 6mo. of hiring) unless the economy starts to recover (and what about Europe?) and booking for next summer improve dramatically and they decide to hire a lot more than 300.

Or...maybe it's just a job shift, from all the 50 seat RJ's being parked, to fill the 717 slots for next summer?

I wish oil prices would come down, that would help everyone's 'recovery', but the talking heads are saying it'll be over $4.00/gallon pretty soon. That's not going to help.
Timbo, I was furloughed in 01' and bypassed for awhile before coming back in 2008. I suspect that most of the 200 will not come back. There are guys in my newhire class and other friends who have moved on after 10+ years. Some at FedEx, some at other carriers, some completely out of flying altogether. The FedEx guys ain't coming back, the JetBlue guys, I imagine, are split.

Now Mil Leave is "a whole 'nother thing." Most of the ML guys I know are already back. They got their retirement in and returned.

Oil prices suck. Especially in California.