Originally Posted by
RockyBoy
From 2010 until now we had 558 retirements. I think there were less than 50 scheduled. I know part of that was the early out program, but we will see more retirements than scheduled. Unless we have a major incident that effects the industry or another merger, I'd bet we see hiring every year for the next 10. Maybe not classes every month, but at least some hiring every year.
I think it should be hiring perpetually when you look at the scheduled retirements and given how people leave early.
But let's take the CP rumor of 700 overstaffed into the equation plus B717/330s growth jets or GJs. Instead of 1830 by the end of 2016 we only need 1130. 1130 / 3 years = 377 pilots per year.
Look all of this is going to get lost in the mud as time goes on. Even if the company really wanted 9000, they'd need to hire. So I think it will be hard to notice but if 300-400/yr was the case instead of what it should be, I'd sure would like to know why in July 2013 we were considered overstaffed by 700.
Because if it was as EB and RA mentioned "increased pilot productivity" from the 2012 PWA, I sure as hell don't want to repeat that feat.