Originally Posted by
CBreezy
I have to disagree with your math.
If you assume a fixed amount of people will leave a regional in the next 12 months, you have to assume that an equal amount of qualified applicants will be split evenly amongst each regional. If the legacy carriers hire 300 people in 2014, it isn't going to matter that Expressjet has 10x as many people as a place like Trans States. If you are qualified (with the exception of preferential interviews and flow throughs), you will be considered. In this case, the larger percentage of pilots leaving will be from a smaller operation.
If you go to a place like Expressjet, 2000 people have to retire or leave before you can even considered a left seat. At Trans States or Compass, it's 200.
I guess we'll just have to wait and see. At XJT, we have more attrition by senior FO's (ASA side), L-XJT has had more Captains. According to our VP of flight ops, we lost 37 pilots from Legacy, and 16 from the ASA side in June '13. Is there other regionals coming close to this kind of attrition?
AnchorDown.