ALPA will not win the next drive. 80%+ of new hires (yes several hundred) have no interest and will join the same no voters from last time. Wasn't the claim during the last vote ALPA was "guaranteed" to crush it. I saw a lot of disbelief when that went down in flames.
I agree with this to only some degree.
I am 6 months with the company and I would say more than half of my class are pro union, at least from what I have gathered . Some cards already sent in. If at the very least most of us junior guys want merger protection with detailed language ..
The tough part is many guys coming from regionals which got shafted from alpa aren't too fond of alpa.