Back on subject:
Let's see: Poor Great Lakes is having a hard time staffing flights not even one month into the "ATP rule" and only 2/3 into a year with the lowest (age 65) retirements projected for the next 18 years. What is going to miraculously change their plight? When are the airlines going to stop "poaching their pilots?" I think GL is toast in the next few years.
Retirement numbers (age 65) are available all over this site but as a review there are roughly 19,000 (age 65) retirements scheduled in the next 10 years alone. Think about that. That's about 5 pilots a day, every day for the next 10 years headed out the door. There's another 16,000 (age 65) retirements forecast the 10 years after that. The only measures that will mitigate this train wreck are:
1) MPL replacing the new ATP rule
2) No retirement age
Just my humble opinion.
S.B.