Originally Posted by
Sr. Barco
Bingo.
This problem will march its way up the food chain. It's starting with GLA, will progress to Hulas Kanodia's Flying Circus and on up to Skywest. Finally it will affect the majors and THAT is when the politicians will get involved IMHO.
The majors will have a deep enough pool to choose from for the forseable future between regional pilots, mil guys, and frac pilots looking for an upgrade. I can see at some point the majors slow or even stop hiring regional guys for a while in order to preserve the feed. I know the military guys are fewer and farther between than in the past, but there may still be enough.
Couple that in with fractional guys. High time pilots who are stuck in the right seat of a bizjet for the rest of their lives. Look at Netjets. 495 on furlough, 60% of the active guys on CA pay, the other 40% are looking at a 12 year upgrade (on top of the 7-10 they've already done). The whole operation screams "mass exodus".