Carl,

Well, where do you think express airline negotiations are going to go without ALPA?

In the past any time an express carrier tried to tie up a major with their own scope ALPA resisted, even to the point of litigation for nearly a decade. So say you remove ALPA and see what happens.

I would expect management to want to outsource more & larger units of capacity at every turn. Express carriers are going to continue fighting each other, but mostly their managements are going to try to get a piece of the mainline pie. Without ALPA express carriers will do deals that supersede and conflict with mainline bargaining. I'd say with some certainty every express carrier would have a proposal for 100 to 130 seat flying on the table for C1012+1 day.

ALPA at least restrains the more nefarious plots to engage in predatory bargaining. Ironically, my strongest criticism of ALPA this year has been authorization of the Pinnacle Bargaining. If we had DPA there would be no restraint what so ever on this sort of garbage because we would be in completely separate unions. Pinnacle, or worse, would be the new standard.