Originally Posted by
alfaromeo
Well, if you post a stupid picture, then you have proven it. Answer this simple question, which creates more pilot jobs:
1. 600 aircraft at 9 hours per day
2. 800 aircraft at 5 hours per day
While we talk about how many crews per aircraft Delta needs that is not how airlines create fleets and staffing.
First they figure out how much capacity they need.
Then they figure out how many block hours they will need to fly that capacity
Then they figure out how many aircraft they will need to fly those block hours
Then they figure out how many pilots they will need to fly those block hours
Ensuring our share of block hours in that mix is the direct driver of mainline pilot jobs. Fleet size means nothing except in the context of how many block hours per day each aircraft flies.
A) If fleet size didn't matter... why take out the 767 mainline fleet requirement? What harm was there in leaving it in?
B) 600 763s flying 1 leg 9 hours a day requires 1800 pilots.
C) 800 MD88s flying a morning shift of 2.5 hours and a late night shift of 2.5 hours to which you couldn't use the same crews would require 1600 pilots in the morning and 1600 in the evening and 3200 total.
D) All that to say, I'd rather DAL have airplanes to which they will figure out how to max out the ROI and that means they will fly and we will fly them then a BH ratio set at 1.56 which only requires DCI to drop to 450 jets and us to stay where we are.
now alpha I don't disagree with everything, I'd pass the alfa rule on res raw carry over if ever asked, but when it comes to TA 2012 scope all I see is bad.
the trend vector on the jumbo rjs is headed quickly in the wrong direction and because of that Im not sure the trend vector on dci will continue to fall. not that that matters really as what is growing is a larger threat to mainline than 50 seaters.