I tend to agree with you based on past history but it's hard to deny that the retirement numbers at the majors are huge. I don't think there will be a shortage of qualified applicants at the majors, at least in the short term, but there will definitely be a shortage at the regionals. In the past all they had to do was lower mins and they still had trouble but now with the ATP rule and the lack of pilots training out there its going to be tough finding guys.