Originally Posted by
JohnnyG
That was in every healthy sector in the world. Growth meant that new people had to be hired. That doesn't mean there were mass shortages, that just meant that the correct people were in the correct positions and moving on from 15K dollar jobs when they were supposed to.
You are totally right. This is what everyone is missing. I hear it all the time where people compare these hiring booms in the past to the supposed up and coming one. The big difference is that the regionals are shrinking and the majors are just letting most of it go. There is NO more growth.
Sure the majors talk about getting new jets but they don't tell you about all of the aircraft they are retiring. No new routes. Not many at least. I haven't been doing this flying thing for very long but to this day I see a lot less frequencies and city pairings than I used to.
Retirement attrition alone is not going to cause any abnormal hiring boom. Maybe retirement attrition and people realizing it's stupid to invest hundreds of thousands of dollars to realistically only get paid around $15/hr for the first 15 years of your career will make a difference. But the numbers right now don't show me anything promising.