Originally Posted by
BlueMoon
Somebody did the math that there have been 24 awarded so far...another bid for 6 came out today (for February bidding). So that would be 30 as of right now. The estimates I have heard is from 115 to 140 captain upgrades are planned total to be done through the spring/summer.
135-140 is the realistic number. Seems another 111-116 to be awarded at least. Running an upgrade class of 4 or 6 every week through the end of the summer. Lot of movement for a 500 pilot airline.
Expect the same to happen in Jan-June 2015 and 2016. After that, all flow eligible pilots will be gone. If everyone waits around for the flow (which many aren't and shouldn't) we would have 310ish pilots leave in the next 2.5 years. This doesn't include attrition - just flow numbers.