Originally Posted by
Jetdriver7
I personally feel upgrade taken at first opportunity will be less than ten years. Including 2013-2023 retirements at the combined company hits roughly 43% of the total list. A lot of the total list do not actively fly and upgrades typically go beyond the 50% of the entire numbered list for multiple reasons. Throw in guys staying in the right seat and so forth.
We have hundreds (minimum) of guys who back-bid or remained as FO's because they have no desire, or no need, to fly CA.
The 777 FO's at DFW are dominated by guys who could be flying CA 10 or 15 years ago.
There are even a large number of narrowbody FO's in the same boat.
I agree, retirement numbers alone mean little. It's a complex dynamic based upon domicile, outside income, etc.