Originally Posted by
Indy
Here's what a bunch of us swimmers were able to come up with as a projection for Jan - Mar class numbers as of today.
Assumptions:
50 class slots per month
Compass holds back at least Jan and Feb
Mesaba does not hold back
Endeavor SSB hires entitled to 1/3 the off the street slots per month (max 12/mo)
Furlough recalls completed in December - none in Jan
Here goes:
9 Mesaba +12 Endeavor = 21 slots/month
That leaves 29 per month for true off the street
58 in Jan and Feb combined
87 by March if Compass holds back the full 90 days
Once Compass flows start in, 7 Endeavor and 14 true off the street/mo
As of mid Nov approximately 100 true off the streets are in the pool
If anyone has different numbers or assumptions, please cite a credible reference.
My understanding is that even if Compass holds pilots back for the full 3 months (Endeavor has that option as well with the XJ flow pilots), they still take up the slots. This is based on the language in LOAs #9 - Compass Flow and #10 - Mesaba Flow contained in the Delta PWA. If 50 slots are to be filled in a month:
50 slots remaining
20 Compass flow pilots (even if they are held back) = 30 remaining slots
9 XJ flow pilots (even if they are held back) = 21 remaining slots
7 Endeavor SSP pilots (1/3 of 21) = 14 remaining slots