Originally Posted by
picaro
Pilot and Jsled:
While I agree that saying they will be capts for life is a bit foolish… But what concrete source do you have that the bumps are coming. In the last FOU this question was asked directly, and they said no. They even had a hard time bumping the SEA guys.
Now , while I know you two dream all night about your "bumps", think about it. If every 76T bumps down to 73 capt, all those junior CAL guys gotta go somewhere. The cascade effect would be so bad, they would have to hire an additional 250 pilots just for the training bubble( that's what I have been told).
With you super awesome seniority Jsled, why don't you just bid your captain slot on this current vacancy bid?
There are 1,400 L-UAL FOs flying as 76T FOs. They are in EVERY BASE. LAX, SFO, SEA, DEN, ORD, JFK, IAD, and IAH. They aren't going to bid off on anything.
The company announced the parking of 91 jets, which equates to about 800 of those pilots being displaced out of their slots. They ALL REALIZE that they can mosly hold guppy Captain in their own home base. These are guys who are EXPERTS at playing this game. We went through this in 2001-2003 and again in 2009. They know exactly how to bump and how the game works.
The company can say whatever they want, but there are 76T FO's that can mostly hold Guppy Captain.
Not to mention the same number of 76T Captains, most of which willl also bump into those guppy Captain bids.
That makes about 1,800 of the 7,400 L-UAL pilots with about 87% of them able to not only hold guppy Captain, but most of the lineholders.
They will be bumping to those seats. I'd do the exact same thing in that fleet. I can hold guppy Captain in my base by over 3,500 seniority numbers. I'd be a good lineholder.