Originally Posted by
jsled
I have said over and over that I don't believe any existing captains will be bumped. On this we AGREE. What I am saying is that 76T pilots WILL be bumped (displaced) and many will go to 737 CAP and squat down on top of all those 05-06' Captains (reserve cushions). Are we clear? Because when it happens (the 76T bumps), and I come back on here to gloat about being right (Just like I was on SLI) I don't want you weaseling out about how you didn't understand what I said. Get ready.
You will learn more as your career progresses.
Sled
Sled,
I agree with you. Those 05-06 hires are holding Captain so far out of seniority they are going to either be on reserve forever or they are going to get bumped by 67T FOs and Captains. I hope it doesn't happen, they personally don't deserve it, but if it does it does.
But in any case they are going to be junior for a LONG time. 50% of all Airbus FOs can hold guppy Captain and 75% of 76T FOs. Not to mention all the 76T Captains that can't hold 777 will have to go somewhere when bumped.
Yes there are new guppies coming online as replacement, but 76T FOs are sitting home getting 70+ hours to not fly and they are going to live that dream until they are forced out, then take their guppy Captain slot. That's in addition to the pilots who will bid those openings, including pilots being bumped out of the 747 FO in LAX, 777 FO in SEA, and other pilots that just bid.
I predict we will see a surplus on the guppy Captain position just like we are seeing on the other fleets. Won't be every domicile, but LAX and DEN (maybe even ORD) are prime candidates.