Originally Posted by
CALFO
You keep saying that you have played this game before. What you fail to realize is that the game has changed. At old United, bumps were part of an overall reduction in pilots and most recently happened during a period of time with very few retirements. Today, you have bumps taking place at the same time as massive retirements, as well as a time with slight growth in overall staffing.
The playing field has changed dramatically. The company can ill-afford an all out bump-a-thon. Here is my prediction:
20 747 Capt bid wb Capt in either LAX or SFO
3 747 Cap bid Den 756 Capt.
2 bid LAX 737 CA.
747 FO's:
18 bid LAX 737 Capt.
20 bid LAX 777 FO
15 bid SFO 747 FO
7 bid SFO 777 FO
This distribution, coupled with retirements will not necessitate further bumps.
I hope you are right. I don't want to see anyone lose their seat.
The only thing is that we have had bumps for three straight months. And this thread is about bumps as well. So you can't say there aren't any bumps, when that what is happening now.
I'd be at 15% BES on the 787 in either IAH or LAX. I hope it stays that way when the fence drops in 2 years.