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Old 12-22-2013 | 03:46 AM
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BizPilot
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Originally Posted by DLax85
In recent postings, Flight Mgmt states the average age of FDX pilots has only increased from 49 yrs old to 50 yrs old since 2010, however, comparing the “averages” of two different distributions does not necessarily make them equivalent.

Note: The following distributions all have the same average of 5, but are vastly different.

5,5,5,5,5,5,5,5,5,5

0,0,0,0,0,10,10,10,10,10

0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10


Since 2008, there have been approximately 971 pilots eligible for retirement and only about 628 have retired --- so in that portion of the pilot distribution alone (Age 60-65), we have seen a net increase of approximately 343 pilots.

Additionally, since April 2008 we have only hired about 304 “new” (presumably younger) pilots --- meaning that the remaining 4,136 pilots (88%) on property are all 5 years older

Bottom line --- instead of comparing the overall “average” age of the crew force, I think it would be more enlightening to compare the percentage of the crew force in each age range --- 60-65, 55-60, 50-55, 45-50, etc

My guess --- this would reveal a greater “aging of the crew force", especially in those year groups (50+) where pilots, and the general population, tend to have an increase in medical issues.
That info is available in the FDX page on this site. They list the number of retirements per year. I did some quick excel calcs and there are 3000 pilots age 50 and over, 1500 pilots less than age 50. For those less than age 50 I used an age 43 to produce a weighted average. Bottom line is the average age of an FDX pilot is 51.96 years. Ceteris paribus, FDX will need to replace 67% their pilots in the next 15 years.

Rets #Ret Current Age Weighted Ages
2013 - 105 105 65 6825
2014 - 93 93 64 5952
2015 - 144 144 63 9072
2016 - 149 149 62 9238
2017 - 186 186 61 11346
2018 - 184 184 60 11040
2019 - 150 150 59 8850
2020 - 180 180 58 10440
2021 - 208 208 57 11856
2022 - 211 211 56 11816
2023 - 223 223 55 12265
2024 - 229 229 54 12366
2025 - 218 218 53 11554
2026 - 242 242 52 12584
2027 - 208 208 51 10608
2028 - 198 198 50 9900

<age 50 1512 43 65016

Total 4440 230728 Avg Age 51.96577
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