Originally Posted by
Dorfman
The retirement numbers for the next 5 years are closer to 1200. Are you saying only half of those are captains? I am guessing it is closer to 1000 captain retirements by the end of 2018, that's scheduled not accounting for anyone going early.
Of course I am already at 14 years and still not close to captain so maybe I am being optimistic that I will be able to hold it prior to 20 years.
Fair enough I was not using 2018 numbers (I was using 2013-2017). I agree as a 2000 hire I think you will be approaching the low 8000's in 2020 and if the seniority of captains stays about the same as it is today, that should get you a captains seat in NY. I don't think you are being overly optimistic, I think the numbers support a 20 year upgrade for you. You will not get an argument form me on your assessment.