Originally Posted by djrogs03

If your looking at Compass:

As of the last award we have 575 pilots on property, with 310ish eligible for flow. In a perfect world all 310 would go, but having flown with some of the guys, it sounds like a few may hold back for other opportunities or they are comfortable where they are (50+ years old) and don't want to commute to reserve at DAL.

Mind you, there will be other guys outside of the flows that will leave for greener pastures like UAL, AA, NKS, SWA, etc. but we are getting to the point where upgrades wont be guaranteed quickly like they have been for most of the new hires. My estimate is at least 3-5 years now upgrade time for people starting after the first of the year...We have 265ish pilots on the SL that aren't flow eligible and with the end state being around 450ish, it's just something everyone may want to consider. I think we are done hiring FO's for MSP/DTW and all are going to LAX now (about 20-30 more FO's), the company will build another pool after this round of new hires, for the next set of flows in 2015.

The other problem is even with the future upgrades is finding the guys to backfill into FO spots, who won't be guaranteed quick upgrades. I'm excited about the future here at CPZ and it is a great airline, but I worry in 2 years if we will be able to find people to fill the right seat...