Normally you are right but what's happening in EWR isn't normal. Hopefully this changes but those who are holding onto lineholder status just across the line are slowly falling backwards towards reserve at about 1-5% a month depending of where you are. This has been going on for months now. Main reason is people bidding in ahead of them. Hard to believe but EWR is actually a good deal in the system stateside as a 73 FO and people are figuring that out. The writing is on the wall for IAH and CLE and ORD in particular doesn't offer real great trips for junior Holders. As expected they're coming here. Your twenty a month won't show its effects in the 73 FO ranks at EWR until they upgrade or a better deal in the system presents itself. For now EWR is the soup du jour. Bizarre but true.