Originally Posted by
7576FO
The 737 MAX LOL, and the NEO's Airbus even the Leap of 2015 deliveries will not make it to 2035.
I firmly believe by 2035 1 pilot and 2040 No pilots.
They've been testing autopilots on cars for 2 years now. On freeways near you.
By 2030 I also predict no APU's on airliners.
Right now heavy duty brushless starters on Learjet 85 and with GTF's by 2030 Airliner ETOPs will be dramatically increased and we'll think Wow the 787 originally was only 330 min's .
I think you are right. Flying the last 40 yrs coming up to 30 with
AA. The rate of change procedure wise has not been linear in the past, but IMO exponential. I'd say we are getting close to single
Pilot plus an OTJ apprentice Helper (no offense to my excellent experienced FO's) Except in dire simulator events, 2 experienced
Pilots is overkill. NoT saying it isn't safer with 2, but a pilot monitor, as we refer to the nonflying pilot, doesn't necessarily need to be a fully capable pilot, particularly with the automation we fly with that
Will probably get more automated with the 779. Take out communications with CPDLC AND NAVIGATION/profile with gps/sat
And we will be at one pilot workload at best with ground back-up.
Your forecast seems very plausible to, even conservatively speaking.