Originally Posted by
CRM114
Do you know the projected retirements at AK? Last I heard, it was a 12-15 year Capt. upgrade. Without some sort of major expansion or merger, that's going to be a lot of 737 right seat time compared to opportunities elsewhere.
I think AK is an awesome company with a great culture (for the most part), it's just that everyone is so young that it will present considerable career stagnation for the FNGs.
Honestly,
One would be well-advised to weigh all of the pros and cons of any airline. Far too often we go thru the process with blinders on or we keep asking the same question over and over again until we get the answer we want to hear.
In addition to having many benefits, Alaska also is a small carrier with growth in seat miles only. There appears to be little attrition, now and going forward. There are only about 1400 pilots flying their line in 4 bases. So, no matter how you slice it, there really aren't going to be that many new hires or upgrades going forward any way you slice it. That also means fewer bids and no larger international equipment over which to lateral in the future. No real International flying means lesser non-rev benefits as well and a pocket full of ID-90s for you and your family if you ever get to vacation with them.
So, be prepared to swing gear in the right seat for a very long time. Be prepared for displacements, base changes, force-transfers or worse yet, furlough. Be prepared for a long time on reserve where there's no right or wrong, only contractual and FAR Legal. in addition, expect no eventual perks as a senior FO either. No cushy lines. No vacations in summer. No 777s or 787s and the better pay and schedules that come with them. Plan on years of working weekends, nights and holidays only to eventually ugrade to reserve captain on Reserve in ANC at 12 years or 15 in SEA. But, don't worry. There will be a senior guy standing next to you in OPS on Thanksgiving or Xmas. He'll be the one bragging about getting premium pay or working thru vacation.
Just know what you're getting into. Then maybe you too won't be "disgruntled" in the end. A lot has changed in this industry the last 15 years, especially for those on the lower half of the seniority list.
I can only speak for myself. It didn't go down as I had planned. I don't think that I or any of the other senior FOs in this industry could have predicted or planned on the race to the bottom that the last 15 years has been.
But, the cliché about timing is true. Hopefully the new hires of today will have to wade thru less effluent than we did.
In the end, don't let the job or uniform define who you are. Work to live. Don't live to work.