I have plenty of anecdotal stories regarding this situation. Don't worry about it.
If the board doesn't go your way, apply to everyone you want to work for the day the results come out. Adjust your separation date as required. That extra cash is key. When asked about it, like other posters have said, be vague. I think in the current environment, reduction in force is an apt saying. The promotion rates for aviators recently have been abysmal.
I would stay in if I were you and roll the dice on the board. If you still would rather leave active duty after the results come out, you have that option now that your commitment is up.