Hell no. Although I've noticed that facts on these forums are often trumped by group-think.

If everyone wants to spread rhetoric that if a new-hire comes here they'll be furloughed, sure do it, but its still highly doubtful in this environment and not based on fact. I'm not in anyway saying this is a good place to come either. But, flying jets for crappy wages is still better than being hungry and homeless if your unemployed.

The facts: First off, I'm more than 500 off the bottom now and I still move up 15-25/month. Math shows a net loss of ~20 or so airframes, -45 E-145s being parked, +23 E-175s for AA, +3 Q-400s for United. So even if we park more than the ~45 Emb-145s were expecting simple attrition will reduce our numbers to match the aircraft we're parking within a few months... Worse case scenario we stop hiring for a month or three.

Your playing perfectly into the BB guilt trip of "you guys are going to regret you turned down an awesome TA!" The reality is for 2-3 months we could barely jump over 3,000 pilots, now the ISL shows us up to 3,090 pilots for April 2014. So we've gained 90 pilots and although we turned down that crappy TA, in the short term we're staying tremendously cheaper that Eagle. This sets us up perfectly to get more American flying IMO. Don't think for a second this company won't aggressively pursue new flying, not to improve upgrade times, but to increase revenue and of course profits, the bread and butter of a higher stock price.

The "we're going to furlough rumor!" doesn't help it hurts, because it fosters and spreads fear amongst our pilot group. The type of fear that allows management to bust unions, manipulate feelings and push through crappy TA's that accelerate the race to the bottom.