Good thoughts by everyone... But what everyone needs to realize is things could change in a month or year.... We could announce another big growth spurt, or the opposite..
To predict a new hire is gonna be an FO for 2 decades is a little shortsighted... Especially for a compnay with only 600 pilots to begin with... Ask any of those furloughed guys if they ever thought they would be a widebody captain just a couple years after returning from furlough.
I've got friends pushing 7 years at Delta, and even longer at SWA and United....all still FO's, the Delta guy is still on the 88 maybe could hold 320 depending on base, looking at maybe a 10 yr upgrade into a 717 in maybe DTW... All about perspective.....