Originally Posted by
pagey
This is true of any regional that experiences growth. You obviously want to get in on the front of the wave. The "front of the wave" door may be closing pretty soon here at PSA. No argument there. That being said I'm going to put a little more truth in to your numbers.
Please keep in mind that if 20% of our group is on reserve only 10% of those are FOs. The other are captains. So I think you need cut your reserve time estimate by at least 50%.
Your last point with the industry changing is not a PSA-centric problem. Getting stuck on reserve at PSA for years would suck. I know this from first hand experience as I commuted to reserve for just about 2 years. It was bad. It will be bad everywhere though. Reserve sucks at every regional and there is nothing in our contract that makes it any worse than it is anywhere else.
I also think we can both agree that the above scenario with the industry stalling has a slim to almost no chance of happening in the near future.
Cheers.
There is a very real chance this industry stalls again. World economies are beginning to flatten and banks are performing as they did prior to the last collapse. Growth has not met expectations for the US or the EU. Housing starts in the US are down and there is a very real possibility of another round of foreclosures, especially out West. Aside from economic factors a war in Eastern Europe, a terrorist attack, etc. will all stagnate the industry.
All of this coupled with the possibility of 50 seat aircraft elimination replaced with larger aircraft on less departures helps to alleviate the "shortage". The future is not nearly as bright as some make it out to be. If people begin spending less than 10 years at a regional I will be shocked and pleasantly surprised.