Originally Posted by
gzsg
Would you agree that we have had 111 retirements year to date? Per our DALPA website?
Do you agree with Kyle we will have only 183 by year end?
I agree we've had 111 thus far. 56 of those were age 65 mandatory. We'll have another 62 mandatory and probably 60 other, for a total of approximately 230 this year, and while that happens to be 2x the mandatory as you mention, it also happens to be mandatory plus 1% of the list.
In the coming years, with the bulge of pilots over age 60, I suspect the 1% non-mandatory group will be slightly larger, but it won't be 2x the actual, so if you're looking for predictions:
2015: 300 (170 age 65 plus 130 more)
2016: 370 (230 age 65 plus 140 more)