Originally Posted by Pineapple Guy

I agree we've had 111 thus far. 56 of those were age 65 mandatory. We'll have another 62 mandatory and probably 60 other, for a total of approximately 230 this year, and while that happens to be 2x the mandatory as you mention, it also happens to be mandatory plus 1% of the list.

In the coming years, with the bulge of pilots over age 60, I suspect the 1% non-mandatory group will be slightly larger, but it won't be 2x the actual, so if you're looking for predictions:

2015: 300 (170 age 65 plus 130 more)
2016: 370 (230 age 65 plus 140 more)