Originally Posted by
minimwage4
FlyingKat the chances of Tsa being around in a few years is pretty low. We have very old planes much much older and more tired than any gojets or compass plane. If Hulas decides to get rid of an operation which one do you think he'll get rid of first? All the other regionals are focusing on 50+ seaters and getting rid of their 50 seat RJs. All I'm saying is go some place with a future. What good is your upgrade when you're looking at a potential downgrade?
They have been talking about the demise of TSA since the mid 90s. The realities of the pilot labor market will not allow them to just throw away a pilot group. Also even the most pessimistic forecasts out there admit there will still be a need for 50 seat aircraft, although it will be greatly reduced. I can remember working at NWA with forty year old aircraft so I get a laugh when people talk about ten or fifteen year old aircraft being "tired". One thing about these aircraft is the leases are very cheap compared to new ones. That worked out pretty well for NWA, and Delta is following the same path with older used aircraft due to cheaper costs.
We'll see where everyone is in five years. However the idea that TSA is just going to shut down and furlough all the pilots is laughable, given the need for pilots over the next five years.