From the business stand point the 145's are the least economical in Hulas's fleet. Add to that TSA is the most expensive pilot group under TSH. I don't think TSA pilots will ever get furloughed in this climate. I think it's foolish to think TSA's head isn't on the chopping block first. Either you guys are getting 175's as fleet replacements or they will make a push for as long as they can on the CHQ flying until the staffing dries up. Then there will be a draw down. Don't mistake those comments for TSA basing, it's not. It's economics of an expensive aircraft combined with an expensive pilot group.
Obviously, they would cannibalize the TSA pilot group way before a furlough. At Republic it doesn't seem to be an issue but those guys are all on one list. If they do roll TSA into Compass or GoJet, to say it will be a mess is an understatement of mega proportions.
Of course, all my thoughts are just thoughts and who knows what will really happen? Time will tell.
On another subject, there are some good points on here about contract issues. It's just a reminder that picking a "good" contract at a regional is a lot like choosing which turd stinks less. The cancel pay is a legitimate argument and you have to change your bid strategy. The poster above sounds like he is using his companies contract to benefit him. Well, the flip side is that here at GoJet you would be a fool to bid high credit in the winter. You just bid 75hr lines and don't worry about it. That's not an excuse to justify a weak spot in the contract. It's the remedy to keep from loosing money.