Originally Posted by
algflyr
I would think that if a protocol agreement is reached in mediation that starts next week, we will also see a global settlement between the APA and USAPA that will lead to the withdrawal of the lawsuits. Then it's on to finishing the JCBA, then the SLI. I think if they reach a protocol agreement, this thing will pick up speed and be finished quicker than most think... I don't see this dragging out for years as some seem to believe. Possibly early next year.
According to the MOU, the JCBA should be done by the middle of December at the latest. POR was 12-9-2013. APA had 120 days to file for single carrier. They filed 1-15-2014. The MOU estimated 6-8 months for a determination. That puts it between July 15th and Sept 15th. Using the outside estimate of Sept., we then negotiate for 30 days. That would end Oct. 15th. Then 60 days for arbitration puts the finished JCBA at Dec. 15th.
Then it's on to the SLI. I think with a protocol agreement in place, the sides may agree on a list or take it to arbitration. I personally think a lot of the list will be agreed upon. There will be a few sticking points that will be left for an arbitrator to decide. Either way, I'm betting we have a SLI early in 2015...
My contention all along. Some think USAPA will stall the SLI for years, but I don't think so. It will go to arbitration as there are several issues too complex for negotiation, so that won't be an issue of a few "sticking points". I've said summer-early fall 2015 for SLI completion and I still believe that.