Originally Posted by
GogglesPisano
We have about 450 whale pilots. If 115 are displaced next year they will head to 777, 330, 765 seats (744B's might head for narrowbody A's.)
Vis-a-vis the 10 330 deliveries, you can look at this as "330 vacancies being diluted by 744 displacements," or "744 displacements being tempered by 330 deliveries." Depends on your glass.
An early-out would be a win for everyone.
Better start thinking about all 16 acft and 450 pilots and what that will do to movement. I'm sure it won't all be this year and next, but unless this is some gambit to renegotiate leases or a pressure point over RFP prices at Boeing this is the beginning of the end for the 744. We still have a lot of retirements and I imagine an early out would mitigate it further, but either way we are looking at more stagnation, just a matter of how much
