Originally Posted by
Wynncore
I hope you're right as I don't want to see anyone on the street, however, if the draw down occurs as rapidly as they say it will, and if SKYW stays true to it's word re: E-175s only flown on their certificate, it only makes sense for them to furlough L-XJT pilots and offer them "preferred interviews" at Skywest as there will be lots of qualified pilots on the street...not to mention, the majors aren't hiring FO's in droves right now, and probably won't for another 2 years, so where are these guys going to go?...the majority will go to SKYW if this scenario plays out.
It just all depends on where they want to take this ExpressJet entity...the only way E-175s end up on the XJT side is if we have a JCBA and they use that as a carrot, which is likely too. L-XJT and
L-ASA will still be operating a large number of 50 seaters even with the drawdown coming, not to mention, there is a huge chance that the E145/CR2's scheduled to come off line are extended due to the fact that UAL and DAL realizing that "whoops, perhaps we do need that flying after all!"
Our size is a huge advantage, and our performance numbers improving is a great upside to where things have been going lately. I do think that the E175 will eventually end up on the XJT side at some point, but probably not in the near future and well after a JCBA is reached, something that is likely to never happen if things keep going the way they are going.
I disagree with your analysis, and with your optimism.