LOL---someone said this can't happen. Right. I think --- please forgive me if I'm incorrect, but I think the type is already on the US Air CBA ... and their first year rate is consistent with being able to do this...and their competition is laying down the gauntlet. So, I think it WILL happen and sooner rather than later.

I agree that there will be fallout with consolidation. It will hurt some (and it may hurt me (wish I were 30 something))...but I think it really is going to happen.

RE: pilot shortage...yeah. I agree there are thousands of folks out there but ... but there is the issue of currency, pay, and QOL. FWIW, I'm one of those guys who had to go away, made lot of money outside this industry, and was able (and insane?) to come back. Most people can't take that pay cut...and won't live this life. So, I'd say that there IS a shortage, it is only now beginning to manifest itself. I think kids (and the sense of ... um .. entitlement) demonstrated by today's kids and the much higher cost (actual cost, not relative cost) is going to severely limit the support for the regional model. Added with that is the new ATP rule which started August 1...so all the "do it as you can" part 61 schools are going to not be a pipeline. That argues the new pipeline schools will charge even more...I just don't see the long term economics supporting that model.

Bzzt...I understand (and empathize) with where you are. Frankly, I'm afraid I'm in the same place (age) without the seniority (having to start over again). I still think this is where the industry needs to go to move toward the wages and career progression we all hoped for when we entered it (me in 2000 originally). Frankly, I'd like to see the development of a "universal seniority" in the industry that would start today with every new hire to any 121 carrier. It wouldn't hurt todays guys but in 30-40 years would allow for protection against required career changes (whether due to company constriction or personal changes). Seems odd we're one of the few industries where experience counts for everything but pays for nothing if you change. Just a thought...and would be in the long term interest of the labor side of this industry (yeah...that really would be a long shot wouldn't it ....)