Originally Posted by Billy32

This whole deal isn't just going to be a 5 year pause in your current position, it is going to be much worse. If we were just going to be delayed 5 years and proceed normally, it wouldn't be unbearable. It would be bad, but not unbearable. However the reality is worse than that.

If you are like me you have finally gotten the PIC time to move on. Just in time the Majors are recovering, looking at growth, and looking at big retirements. It was to be our moment in the sun, for those of us who have been in the industry and suffered through all the downfalls of the last 6 years. Finally we were going to get our payoff for all the sacrifice.

So what will happen, is while we wait a whole crapload of people are also going to get comptitive for those good jobs. There are going to be a lot more in the military finishing their commitments. More regional guys getting their times. More flight instructors moving up. The retirements will still happen, just 5 years later. So now when we get to that point we are going to be competing with a whole lot more people than we are now. This could very possibly keep someone from reaching that Major airline. You might be good enough to be the 1 in 20. Are you good enough to be the 1 in 200?