Originally Posted by TANSTAAFL

That "pilots senior to you bidding X" page is nearly worthless. The total senior can be someone who has it as #10 on their preferences and will likely get something else first, it also does not count freeze or percentages in category - particularly prevalent for commuters - where a pilot might bid it at the percentage for a line holder or higher, thereby allowing a 0% bidder to get the slot at a lower seniority.

I have personally seen an award where I had over 70 pilots senior to me 1st choice. Bid what you want and be ready to fly it. If you don't really want it don't bid it. There is a lot of movement taking place and you might be well served by waiting a bit for what you really want.