Ask ten different guys and you'll get ten different answers. Envoy is shrinking, but they do have some attrition to go along with it. A new hire today though would most likely be riding the bottom of the seniority list for a long time. Ditto at Endeavor.
Of the two I'd say NYC is more likely at Endeavor, but that's just a guess. I have no special inside information and all the above could change tomorrow.