Originally Posted by Scoop

Bamaguy,

An AE closed yesterday that really opened things up. Very very junior Pilots were awarded positions out West - the movement is upon us.

As guys have said above there have been years of absolute stagnation and also times of very rapid movement. Fortunately for you we are now entering the latter.

If the movement continues, and it should with new aircraft coming and retirements picking up - it really will not matter.

I say if you are mainly concerned with seniority in ATL you should bid the 88 or 717 - and you should be a line holder within a year. There is still a lot of "churn" from years of built up stagnation and also the 717 fleet is still growing and being initially staffed. Once all this settles down the 717 will probably a little more junior and the 320 & 73N will probably trend more senior.

Don't pay attention to guys who said they were on reserve for years - there was little or no hiring during those times so the bottom of the last was totally stagnant. If we keep hiring upwards of 600/year life will be good fro a all new hires.

Oh, caveat- one black swan could change everything overnight.

Scoop