I predict there will be two outcomes:

Either

1) AAL management offers best final offer of Delta +5% with 2016 parity as well, if APA gives up 5 seats in scope...no profit sharing. Last minute offer at end of 30 day window. SK has mentioned exactly just this in crew meetings.

2) AAL management says ok fine then, we will go to arbitration and you will get industry standard as in just what was spelled out in the MOU.

Option 1 gives good pay raises and many older pilots who don't give a hoot about the continuous erosion of scope will want it. Option 2 holds the line philosophically on scope but the pilots will still be behind DAL pay.

AA/US pilots are in a good place, but also in a good corner in terms of negotiating a great contract AND holding line at 76 seats.