Originally Posted by
Squallrider
Id be shocked beyond years if we went down to 2-3 years. I'm at 4 and I'm 400 away, with no net gain/loss of flying (unlikely since were parking about 35 Bros). Skywest is filled with very senior people that won't lewve even if they are 20-25 years from retirement. Even a great influx of new flying such as 50 planes would only move up the upgrade a year. (250 pilots, current attrition is 20-25 captains a month). There's a big bubble that will lower it about 1.5 years but I doubt it'll go below 5 anytime soon, hope I'm proven wrong.
I don't understand your math... I've been here just over 3.5 years, and am 300 away from an upgrade per the award today. That is going off straight seniority, which is WAY worst case. Of those 300, many of them aren't willing to bid first available (or even want to be CAs period).
I don't know how long upgrades will take, but I can't imagine it will be more than 1-2 years (for you and I). I think you'll be fine.