Originally Posted by
sailingfun
The current delivery schedules on aircraft support 500 to 600 pilots a year being hired. Add in retirements and the number jumps a bit. Sustaining numbers over 60 to 70 a month does not seem to make sense unless there are some additional aircraft in the pipeline not officially announced.
That's what I was thinking. However, retirements are the big unknown here. 2014 had 241 actual retirements. I think there were less than 100 mandatory. If that many guys continue to leave early, I could see 800-1000 a year for the next few years.