Supply will outpace demand for pilots for the next ten years like it always has. By a lot.
Fact: there are about 80,000 airline pilot jobs here in the US, based on data culled from APC employer lists.
Fact: There are about 150,000
active ATP pilots around to fill those jobs, based on public FAA airmen data. Active means they are keeping their medicals current.
That's almost a 2:1 excess of current ATP pilots, and we have not dipped into the pipeline which contains thousands of eligible Comms and CFIs.