Originally Posted by
Dr Pepper
Here is my take.
147 airplanes by the end of 2021.
8 captains per plane roughly
147x8 = 1176 total Captains by end of 2021, we have 1066 listed in flica currently. I'm to lazy to add the total captains we have currently, but we are supposed to be at 80 planes by the end of 2015 so roughly 640 captains. They may staff heavy due to the large number of planes coming but it doesn't seem to me they will need large upgrade classes.
The reason I brought this up initially is because there is so much talk about quick upgrades (both good and bad)
I had a guy telling me a couple of days ago he really wanted to work here because of the quick upgrades. This is being fed to new hires and people at job fairs as well and it is unlikely to be the case for guys getting on now.
The math shows that if more aircraft orders are not placed in the near future to continue growth beyond 2020's, all new hires as of very soon (I'd gamble to say anyone hired after June) may kiss goodbye to the "two-and-half year upgrade." Lucky us that made it here during the 2006-2008 hiring spree (with no going to a job-fair nonsense). It's certainly nice to be amongst the one-third up the list. Keep'em coming...