Originally Posted by
csh405
Right, so 1400-1500 pilots means PSA will need 700-750 captains, the amount of pilots you already have on property. All growth captains aka "quick upgrades" have already been hired. Any upgrades after that will be due to attrition only.
Anyone hired today will undoubtedly see a lot of movement and a quick rise to senior FO, but not a quick upgrade.
Your math is correct, sort of. That would be absolutely true if there is no attrition. However, with 15-20 a month (which is what is expected per month for the next year), that would mean that someone hired today would be at about 50% up the seniority list in one year.
If you are hired today, your seniority number would be ~1000, with ~800 active pilots. Attrition of 15 per month, you would move up 180 in the first year. That would put you around the 600 mark. Also, with ~25 people per class finishing training every two weeks and hitting the line, that would mean in that year, you would have 600 pilots behind you.
As long as the classes stay full, people hired today will upgrade in well under 24 months.